Prediction Markets

Ohio Republican Governor primary: Vivek Ramaswamy vote percent

At least 80%

70% - 75%

Texas Republican Senate Runoff: Margin of Victory

Ken Paxton, 10-15%

Ken Paxton, 5-10%

Texas Republican Senate nominee?

Ken Paxton

John Cornyn

California Governor primary advancers? (Person)

Steve Hilton

Tom Steyer

Florida Republican Governor nominee?

Byron Donalds

James Fishback

VA-08 Democratic nominee?

Don Beyer

Mo Seifeldein

FL-16 Republican nominee?

Sydney Gruters

Ed Pope

Georgia Republican Governor nominee?

Burt Jones

Rick Jackson

Los Angeles mayoral election: Spencer Pratt vote percent (1st round)

At least 30%

At least 35%

Alabama Republican Senate nominee?

Barry Moore

Jared Hudson

FL-24 Democratic nominee?

Shevrin Jones

Oliver Gilbert

Michigan Democratic Senate nominee?

Abdul El-Sayed

Mallory McMorrow

California Governor primary: 1st place

Xavier Becerra

Steve Hilton

FL-13 Democratic nominee?

Leela Gray

Earle Ford

California Governor matchup?

Xavier Becerra vs. Steve Hilton

Steve Hilton vs. Tom Steyer

Maine Democratic Senate nominee?

Graham Platner

Andrea LaFlamme

CT-02 Republican nominee?

George Austin

Sean Randall

FL-22 Republican nominee?

Michael Carbonara

Anna Medvedeva

Georgia Republican Senate nominee?

Mike Collins

Derek Dooley

VA-01 Democratic nominee?

Shannon Taylor

Ericka Kopp

WI-06 Democratic nominee?

Brad Smith

Kortney Oldham

VA-07 Republican nominee?

Doug Ollivant

Philip Harding

Margin of victory in the KY-04 Republican primary?

Ed Gallrein, 5-10%

Ed Gallrein, 10-15%

TN-04 Democratic nominee?

Mike Cortese

Victoria Broderick

Alabama Republican Senate primary: Barry Moore vote percent

Below 20%

20% - 25%

Los Angeles mayor matchup

Karen Bass vs. Spencer Pratt

Nithya Raman vs. Karen Bass

FL-13 Republican nominee?

Anna Paulina Luna

Courtney Offutt

FL-02 Republican nominee?

Evan Power

Keith Gross

FL-02 Democratic nominee?

Amanda Green

Yen Bailey

WI-06 Republican nominee?

Glenn Grothman

Jonathan Peetz

MO-04 Democratic nominee?

Hartzell Gray 3rd

Ashleigh Rogers

How many House Republicans will lose their primary in 2026?

3

7 or more

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